Scottish Independence — Developments Tracker

Scottish Independence — Developments Tracker

Last updated: 10 July 2026

Section 30 / Referendum Route

• BLOCKED: Incoming PM Andy Burnham confirmed he will not grant Section 30 (6 July 2026)
• SNP won May 2026 Holyrood election; Swinney aims for 2028 referendum
• UK government sign-off required per UK Supreme Court ruling

Holyrood Position

• SNP won comfortable Holyrood victory (May 2026)
• Parliament endorsed indyref call (26 May 2026)
• Swinney remains First Minister, committed to indyref by 2028

Independence Polling

• No new polling data found this session
• Web search backend unavailable; check whatscotlandthinks.org manually

Campaign News

• Police inquiry into Yes Scotland "missing £1.5m" claim (BBC, 8 July 2026)
• Burnham's position aligns with Starmer — no referendum under Labour

Key Dates

• May 2026: Holyrood election (SNP win)
• 26 May 2026: Holyrood endorses indyref
• Late July 2026: Burnham expected to become PM
• 2028: SNP target for indyref (contingent on UK govt agreement)