Senedd Politics Overview

Senedd Politics โ€” Wales ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ท๓ ฌ๓ ณ๓ ฟ

Last updated: 10 June 2026 โ€” Mark Drakeford leads Welsh Labour campaign for Andy Burnham in Makerfield by-election; Reform UK candidate Tony Thomas faces questions over local addresses in Rhyl South by-election


Current Situation

Plaid Cymru became the largest party in the Senedd for the first time ever following the 7 May 2026 Senedd election, ending 27 years of Labour dominance in Wales. This was the first Senedd election under the new proportional representation system.

Rhun ap Iorwerth is the First Minister of Wales, leading Wales' first ever Plaid Cymru government.


2026 Senedd Election Result

Party Seats Change Notes
Plaid Cymru 43 +30 Largest party for first time ever
Reform UK Cymru 34 +34 Massive breakthrough
Labour Cymru 9 -21 Worst result in modern Welsh history
Conservatives 7 -22 Major losses
Liberal Democrats 1 -3 Reduced to single MS
Green Party 2 +2 First ever MSs elected

Labour's First Minister Eluned Morgan lost her own seat. Reform UK's Dan Thomas stood in the election. The Green Party won their first ever Senedd seats.

Plaid Cymru formed a government without a majority โ€” requiring support from the Liberal Democrats and/or Greens.


Plaid Cymru Government Cabinet

First Minister: Rhun ap Iorwerth Deputy First Minister: Sioned Williams (also child poverty + childcare portfolio)

Portfolio Minister Notes
Deputy First Minister / Child Poverty & Childcare Sioned Williams Flagship ยฃ10 child payment, expanding childcare
Health & Care Mabon ap Gwynfor 55% of Welsh budget; former Plaid health spokesperson
Education Anna Brychan Former director of NAHT (head teachers union)
Finance Elin Jones Former Presiding Officer; will negotiate budget with other parties
Culture & Sport Heledd Fychan Also Trefnydd (government business organiser)
Enterprise, Connectivity & Energy Adam Price Former Plaid Cymru leader
Rural Resilience & Sustainability Llลทr Gruffydd Former Plaid rural affairs spokesman; now overseeing environment/farming
Counsel General Elfyn Llwyd Returning to frontline politics; former Plaid MP
Constitution & Government Effectiveness Dafydd Trystan New MS; former Plaid chair/CEO under Leanne Wood and Adam Price
Local Government, Housing & Planning Sian Gwenllian Also in cabinet; former Deputy Leader of Plaid Cymru, MS for Arfon

Deputy Ministers:


Reform UK Cymru Shadow Cabinet

Announced 19 May 2026 โ€” sources: @RUKWales, @RightTrackGB, @ReformDaily_ on X/Twitter.

Portfolio Shadow Minister Notes
Leader of the Opposition Dan Thomas Party leader
Deputy Leader / Education & Welsh Language Helen Jenner First appointment announced
Finance & Government Efficiency Cai Parry-Jones Laptop-gate complainant
Chief Whip & Business Manager Llลทr Powell MS for Blaenau Gwent Caerffili Rhymni
Health, Prevention & Sport James Evans Newly elected MS
Food, Farming & Rural Affairs Laura Anne Jones Agriculture portfolio
Economy & Transport Jason O'Connell Business and infrastructure
Local Government, Housing & Planning Francesca O'Brien Housing and planning
Children, Young People & Skills Sarah Cooper-Lesadd Skills and education
Fairness, Families & Communities Christiana Emsley Social policy
Culture, Tourism & Hospitality Louise Emery Clwyd MS, former Conservative councillor

Key Recent Developments

Date Event
7 May 2026 Senedd election โ€” Plaid Cymru wins 43 seats, becomes largest party
9 May 2026 "Welsh political earthquake" โ€” Labour loses Wales for first time in over 100 years
12 May 2026 First plenary of the new Senedd term
13 May 2026 Rhun ap Iorwerth reveals full ministerial team, promising "new era"
17 May 2026 Rhun ap Iorwerth spends election night at Premier Inn after forgetting keys (goes viral)
19 May 2026 First FMQs of the new term โ€” Rhun outlines 100-day priorities
19 May 2026 Rhun confirms he raised Welsh independence with Starmer in post-election call
19 May 2026 Starmer said to be "open" to discussing more Senedd powers
19 May 2026 Former First Minister Mark Drakeford says Andy Burnham should be PM โ€” in an interview, Drakeford backs Greater Manchester mayor as a future Labour leader
19 May 2026 Free school meals expanded to secondary pupils in Universal Credit homes
20 May 2026 Welsh Government announces "most ambitious childcare offer in the UK" โ€” 20 hours/week funded childcare for 48 weeks/year, for all children 9 months to 4 years old, phased in over the Senedd term
20 May 2026 Welsh Labour interim leader Ken Skates says separate Welsh Labour party is "unaffordable" โ€” would only afford 1.5 FTE staff standing alone. Attributes loss to health, cost-of-living, and "anger on the doorstep" directed at UK Labour brand
20 May 2026 Gigantic solar farm plan on Anglesey withdrawn by developer
20 May 2026 Reform MS Cai Parry-Jones complains about being issued two laptops โ€” gets rinsed online
20 May 2026 Reform MS says Senedd shouldn't fly Ukraine flag
20 May 2026 Rhun ap Iorwerth declines to give a start date for free childcare expansion โ€” BBC reports the FM didn't specify when the flagship policy would begin, saying only it would be phased in "over the course of this Senedd term". IFS warns ยฃ400m/year policy likely requires cuts or tax rises
20 May 2026 Mark Drakeford blames Labour's Senedd collapse on UK government offering "so little" in new powers โ€” attacks Welsh Labour MPs in Westminster; Welsh Labour source calls Drakeford "architect-in-chief" of the defeat and demands "silence"
21 May 2026 Cost of living measures a "missed opportunity", says First Minister Rhun ap Iorwerth (BBC)
21 May 2026 Health Minister Mabon ap Gwynfor says ยฃ120m fund to cut NHS wait times to be "spent better"
21 May 2026 Plaid confirms free school meals for secondary pupils in Universal Credit homes
21 May 2026 Business Committee meeting
21 May 2026 Wales is a "low-pay hotspot", First Minister tells unions โ€” Rhun says addressing low wages is a priority for the new government
22 May 2026 Reform Wales leader Dan Thomas appoints disgraced Nazi salute candidate Corey Edwards as special adviser โ€” Edwards resigned as Senedd candidate after photo emerged of him performing Nazi salute. Plaid source: "Reform have shown their true colours"
22 May 2026 Senedd elections treated as "second order contests" โ€” Cardiff University research confirms UK-wide broadcasters gave limited attention to May's elections
22 May 2026 Senedd approaching mid-term recess (Nation.Cymru)
22 May 2026 Reform MS says Senedd shouldn't fly Ukraine flag โ€” BBC reports
22 May 2026 Environment minister Llลทr Gruffydd says muck-spreading ban doesn't work and will be changed โ€” the winter slurry ban championed by the previous Labour administration and environmental groups will be revised, with Gruffydd saying "you don't look at the calendar, you look out of the window"
22 May 2026 Senedd offices set for major refurbishment โ€” Tลท Hywel's lease expires in 2032; new 50-year deal agreed with option to purchase building for ยฃ1 in 2082. Cost covered by landlord Equitix
23 May 2026 Senedd culture war โ€” tampons in men's toilets becomes a talking point on X, with Reform MSs criticising and Plaid/MS defending period dignity policy
23 May 2026 Plaid Cymru accused of "lying" about manifesto costing โ€” Reform Wales claims Plaid's flagship childcare promise wasn't fully costed, citing a BBC report
23 May 2026 Farmer concerns over Plaid U-turn โ€” reports of farmers feeling "betrayed" by Plaid Cymru on agricultural policy, described as "U-turn #3"
23 May 2026 Reform Wales leader Dan Thomas backs call to remove Ukraine flag outside Senedd โ€” BBC reports Dan Thomas backed the Reform MS who said the Senedd shouldn't fly the Ukrainian flag. The Senedd has flown it since the 2022 invasion. Plaid and other parties condemned the position
23 May 2026 Senedd enters mid-term recess โ€” the Seventh Senedd's first recess began after the Business Committee meeting on 21 May. No plenaries scheduled for week of 25 May. Next plenary expected week commencing 1 June 2026 (TBC)
25 May 2026 Plaid Cymru pushes Crown Estate devolution โ€” the party's official X account posts in Welsh and English announcing their demand for control over the Crown Estate, saying Wales' natural resources "should be controlled here in Wales โ€” not in Westminster"
26 May 2026 "Should the Welsh first minister get an official home?" โ€” BBC Wales reports debate over whether Rhun ap Iorwerth should have an official residence. Story follows reports that he spent election night in a Premier Inn after forgetting his Cardiff flat keys. Prof Richard Wyn Jones and former Office of the FM head Des Clifford argue an official home is needed for hosting; former FM Lord Carwyn Jones says it's "difficult to justify to the public"
26 May 2026 Rhun ap Iorwerth rules out Wales-wide mobile phone ban in schools โ€” speaking at the Urdd Eisteddfod on Anglesey, FM says Welsh Government will empower schools to make their own decisions instead of a blanket ban. Contrasts with England where UK govt intends to pass a law requiring smartphone-free schools. Welsh Conservatives criticise the stance
26 May 2026 Former Reform Senedd candidate Corey Edwards appointed special adviser to Dan Thomas โ€” Edwards resigned as candidate after photo emerged of him performing Nazi salute. Nigel Farage had defended him at the time. Plaid Cymru says appointment "will raise eyebrows". Labour questions judgement of Reform leadership. Covered by BBC, WalesOnline, Nation.Cymru
26 May 2026 Welsh independence debate: Nation.Cymru publishes "Wales Must Define Itself" โ€” opinion piece by Ben Wildsmith analysing the post-election constitutional landscape and what Plaid's government means for Welsh national identity
27 May 2026 Jac Larner (Cardiff University) publishes "Early Returns" post-election analysis โ€” detailed academic piece analysing bloc consolidation (Welsh-progressive vs British-conservative), cultural attachment / national identity as vote drivers, and voter attitudes to problem-solving. Key findings: within-bloc voter movements dwarfed cross-bloc flows; Plaid voters think problems are complex while Reform voters believe problems have simple solutions. Available at jaclarner.github.io
27 May 2026 Senedd in recess โ€” no plenaries scheduled for the week beginning 25 May. Next plenary expected week commencing 1 June 2026.
27 May 2026 Recruitment firms urge caution over zero hours contracts law โ€” Nation.Cymru reports Britain's largest umbrella body for recruitment firms urged FM Rhun ap Iorwerth to back moves to water down the ban on zero hours contracts. The law was inherited from the previous Labour administration. Nation.Cymru
27 May 2026 MPs recommend Welsh investment promotion agency โ€” a cross-party Westminster committee report recommends establishing a dedicated Welsh investment promotion agency to attract overseas businesses and streamline support. Nation.Cymru
27 May 2026 Reform UK hires second disgraced ex-candidate as special adviser โ€” Nation.Cymru reports that Derek Roberts, a former Reform Senedd candidate who stepped down after racist Facebook posts were uncovered (including Islamophobic comments, sharing an image of a Mosque with a red cross, and a post referencing "72 virgins" after the Lebanon pager attacks), has been appointed as a special adviser to newly elected Reform MS Dr Gaz Thomas (Pen-y-bont Bro Morgannwg). This follows the appointment of Corey Edwards (who performed a Nazi salute) as Dan Thomas's adviser. Plaid and Labour condemn the pattern. Nation.Cymru
28 May 2026
28 May 2026
28 May 2026
31 May 2026
31 May 2026
30 May 2026
29 May 2026
29 May 2026
29 May 2026
29 May 2026
29 May 2026
29 May 2026
29 May 2026
29 May 2026
30 May 2026
30 May 2026
31 May 2026
1 June 2026
1 June 2026
1 June 2026
1 June 2026
1 June 2026
1 June 2026
2 June 2026
2 June 2026
2 June 2026
2 June 2026
3 June 2026
3 June 2026
3 June 2026
3 June 2026
3 June 2026
4 June 2026 Transport Minister Mark Hooper demands Westminster talks on 'unfair' rail funding โ€” Plaid Cymru's new deputy transport minister asks for formal talks with the UK government over long-standing rail underinvestment in Wales. Hooper said the ยฃ445m announced for new stations "falls far short" and cited HS2 as a "long-standing symbol of unfair rail funding" โ€” classed as an England-and-Wales project, meaning Wales receives no consequential funding (unlike Scotland/NI). UK Transport Secretary has admitted in writing that rail funding for Wales has been lower than it should have been. Plaid wants full rail devolution. Labour source counters that UK government's ยฃ14bn Transport for Wales plan is "worth far more than what Welsh government would have received had HS2 been devolved". BBC
8 June 2026 Ann Davies MP tables Steel Bill amendments to safeguard Welsh steel โ€” Plaid Cymru MP for Caerfyrddin tables three amendments to the Steel Industry (Nationalisation) Bill calling for strengthened protections and funding for Welsh steel communities. Davies accused UK Government of taking "extraordinary steps" to protect Scunthorpe and Rotherham steelworks while failing to intervene at Port Talbot, where 2,800 Tata Steel jobs were lost in 2024. Welsh Secretary Jo Stevens described Scunthorpe as "very different" as the UK's only virgin steel producer. Port Talbot's blast furnaces closed after Indian owners secured a ยฃ1.25bn transition deal for electric arc furnaces. Nation.Cymru
8 June 2026 Grassroots Pride fund open for applications โ€” Welsh Government opens its Grassroots Pride fund for LGBTQ+ community initiatives across Wales. Gov.wales
9 June 2026 Reform UK formally takes up Official Opposition role in the Senedd โ€” Reform UK Cymru, with 34 MSs, confirms its position as the official opposition in the Senedd, pledging to "hold Plaid Cymru to account, champion common sense and put the people of Wales first". First opposition broadcast released. YouTube

|---|

100-Day Priorities


FMQs โ€” Key Exchanges (First FMQs, 19 May 2026)

Rhun's first FMQs as First Minister. Main exchanges:

Note: Full Hansard transcript not yet indexed on the Senedd Record. Video available at senedd.tv (search "Plenary 19 May 2026"). As of 25 May 2026, videos are now available for both the 12 May and 19 May plenaries.


Independence Position


Reddit Highlights

Thread Subreddit Score Link
Young Rhun & Leanne Wood protesting (throwback photo) r/Wales 771 Link
"I did it โ€” I voted Plaid Cymru" r/Wales 713 Link
Reform candidate permanently banned from Twitter r/FuckNigelFarage 495 Link
What a waste (campaign leaflets) r/Wales 560 Link
Should we get a First Minister's residence? r/Wales 316 Link
First Minister outlines 100-day priorities r/Wales 194 Link
Green candidate withdraws over social media r/ukpolitics 173 Link
Rhun says he raised independence with Starmer r/Wales 139 Link
Reform MS under fire over Senedd tech complaint r/Wales 94 Link
Welsh Parliament should not fly Ukraine flag, says Reform MS r/Wales 95 Link
Reform Wales leader appoints Nazi salute candidate as adviser r/Wales 136 Link
Plaid Cymru becomes largest party for first time ever r/fivethirtyeight 94 Link
Rhun spent election night at Premier Inn after forgetting keys r/NotTheOnionUK 143 Link
Plaid confirms free school meals for secondary pupils r/Wales 251 Link
Welsh Labour couldn't afford separate party โ€” Skates r/Wales 26 Link
Senedd elections second order contests โ€” Cardiff University analysis by Prof. Richard Wyn Jones, Prof. Roger Scully, Dr. Jac Larner covers voting patterns, turnout, and party system change. Published by BBC Wales, 26 May 2026 r/Wales meta โ€” BBC Analysis
Early Returns: First Thoughts & Reflections on Senedd 2026 โ€” Dr. Jac Larner's detailed post-election analysis: bloc consolidation, cultural attachment, voter attitudes to complex vs simple solutions. Published 26 May 2026 r/Wales โ€” Link
Recruitment firms urge caution over zero hours contracts โ€” Nation.Cymru reports firms urge Rhun ap Iorwerth to water down ban on zero hours contracts r/Wales โ€” Link
Welsh history in schools to be reviewed โ€” new Welsh Government to look again at teaching Welsh history; Education Minister says it's "vitally important" r/Wales โ€” Link
Plaid Cymru victory T-shirt selling fast โ€” Golwg360 reports strong demand for Plaid's election victory merchandise r/cymru โ€” Link
FM Rhun ap Iorwerth 30-min BBC Walescast interview โ€” first in-depth FM interview covering M4, priorities, and new direction r/politicswales โ€” Link
Brynglas Tunnels M4 congestion solution will be found โ€” FM promises solution to Brynglas Tunnels bottleneck; says roads-based solution needed r/Wales โ€” Link
Senedd candidate in Nazi salute photo row now Reform special adviser โ€” cross-posted discussion of Corey Edwards appointment across multiple subreddits r/FuckNigelFarage โ€” Link
Reform hires racist ex-candidate for Senedd role โ€” Derek Roberts (racist Facebook posts) appointed to Dr Gaz Thomas's office as special adviser r/ukpolitics โ€” Link
Senedd 2026: Voter attitudes to the Welsh language โ€” r/cymru post linking to research on Senedd 2026 voter attitudes towards the Welsh language r/cymru โ€” Link
Early Returns: Senedd 2026 election analysis โ€” Jac Larner's post-election analysis also posted to r/politicswales r/politicswales โ€” Link
Why did a Reform MS get a ยฃ220k settlement? โ€” Will Hayward Substack questions taxpayer-funded ยฃ220k settlement to a Reform MS r/Wales โ€”
First Minister predicts long Senedd term after Reform kick off FMQs with vote share clash โ€” Discussion of 2 June FMQs; Rhun responds to Reform's vote share attack; Reform MSs criticised for script reliance r/Wales 34+

Key Figures


Twitter/X Discussion

Source: Nitter (via Docker on Windows PC), 26 May 2026

Key X/Twitter narratives about Welsh politics:


Official Sources & How to Find FMQs Transcripts

The Senedd publishes records at:

Note: Post-election (May 2026) transcripts have not yet appeared in the search index as of 25 May 2026. The last indexed plenary transcripts are from the Sixth Senedd (up to 23 March 2026). Senedd TV now has two Seventh Senedd plenary videos โ€” Plenary 12 May 2026 (swearing-in/election of FM) and Plenary 19 May 2026 (first FMQs) โ€” plus a Business Committee meeting on 21 May 2026.


Sources


Revision #30
Created 2026-05-25 01:40:15 UTC by beanfarmer
Updated 2026-06-10 07:03:37 UTC by beanfarmer